Fragmentation May Stall Urbanization of the St. Louis Region
‘Urbanization’ means different things to different people. In the broader sense it means the development of formerly undeveloped land – Going from rural/agriculture to suburban/urban. In another way it can mean going from what Christopher B. Leinberger calls “drivable suburbanism” to “walkable urbanism.” In the coming decades I think we will see less of the former and more of the latter.
For those of you in the St. Louis region, don’t think of it as county vs. city. Our situation of having the boundaries of the City of St. Louis held in place by the Missouri Constitution since 1876 is highly unique. Think of it more as drivable vs. walkable. That totally ignores municipal & county boundary lines.
The coming 50-60 years will be very different than the past 50-60 years. As population in metropolitan areas increases this population will increasingly locate not in new edge sprawl in “greenfield” development but in areas that are already “urbanized.” Think about it – regions like St Louis cannot continue consuming land at the periphery as has happened over the last half century. We have reached the point where any further out is just too far.
I love the countryside and rural America and I want it to stay that way.
After my “End of Suburbia” post in June and my “The St. Louis Region Over the Next 50 Years” post in July I lost a potential advertiser that didn’t want to be seen supporting my site if I was making such proclamations about impending doom on the fringe. His clients, mostly builders on the edge, don’t want to hear about the “end of suburbia” because that is all they know.
‘Urbanization’ will shift from being the consumption of farm land to the conversion of non-walkable areas into denser walkable areas. I hope I make it to 2050 because I want to see the change. But it is up to us today to guide and direct the change.
St Louis City may always be separate from St Louis County. Changing the Missouri Constitution to put the city back inside the county seems a tall order. It may not even be the best route to take. St Louis County has “91 municipalities and 9 unincorporated census-designated places” for a total of 99. St. Louis City would make 100! Greater St Louis has quickly grown in size, but not population, to encompass 17 counties – 8 in Illinois and 9 in Missouri. One of those 17 joining another is no longer a relevant discussion.
The total units of government for the region is in the hundreds. Hundreds! Counties, municipalities, school districts, fire protection districts, sewer & water districts, etc. Bi-State/Metro is another without the ability to tax. If we create a transit district in Missouri with the ability to tax that is just one more. The city being part of St Louis County is trivial at this point – the problem is so much bigger than it was in 1950.
The harsh reality is that we need to significantly reduce the number of units of government in order to better guide growth and change in the region over the next 30-40-50-60 years. That means many municipalities go away, becoming parts of a larger city.
Our governmental fragmentation will be the roadblock to future urbanization and population/job growth.