Revisiting ‘The End of Suburbia’
Back in January 2004 a documentary came out on the topic of peak oil. The title? The End of Suburbia. Produced in 2003 this film was out prior to Katrina (2005), An Inconvenient Truth (2006) and President Bush’s realization at the 2006 State of the Union address that we are “addicted to oil” At the films release in January 2004 gas was barely past a national average of a buck and a half. Mainstream media and the general population ignored the warnings offered. Alarmists, they were labeled.
The plot was simple, most Americans live in suburbia (aka sprawl) and much of our economy depends on new construction and thus the continuation of sprawl. That continued sprawl only works when we have cheap energy. Again gas was at a buck fifty at the time. The warning signs were all present — the fact we’ve never produced (or consumed) more oil. You see Peak Oil is not about running out, it is about reaching that high point in the production bell curve. Four years later I think we are at or beyond that peak point.
The producers have edited the 78-minute film down to 52 minutes and placed it on YouTube for all to enjoy:
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q3uvzcY2Xug[/youtube]
I’ve yet to see the follow-up film, Escape from Suburbia, but it is at the top of my Netflix queue. Here is the trailer:
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J2y9BbNjLAY[/youtube].
High gas prices are only the beginning. Higher food prices are already starting. The longer we as a society hold onto suburbia as the idealized American dream of a house in the ‘country’ the worse the transition will be. The good news is all those big front yards without street trees will be great for growing food. Although depending upon how much oil based chemicals (fertilizer & weed killer) were used I’m not sure I’d want to eat it.
Media reports now frequently talk about walkability, the housing bust in suburbia, and how many baby boomers are moving to urban cores for a lifestyle they never had. Locally we saw the collapse of Pyramid Companies downtown but we’ve also seen reports on suburban home builders with too much land and too few customers. Several of these big production builders have closed their doors as well. If you live in one of these unfinished subdivisions don’t look for new neighbors anytime soon, the supply of lots is well beyond expected demand. Much of the land bought for development into residential sprawl will remain undeveloped and in time will be returned to agricultural uses. The leap frog development patterns we’ve seen for the last decade are permanently over. Finished. Done.
The next decade will be a tough one as we transition from an economy centered on cheap energy to one that functions amid high energy costs. It is not going to be pretty or quick, it will be slow & messy. The poor will be impacted but to be honest they have less to lose and are more accustomed to facing adversity. It is the guy with the million dollar starter McMansion that stands to lose what he thought would be a sure fire retirement plan. The upper middle class will have a hard time adjusting. Many of the rest of us are already starting to adjust, but will we be ready?   If not get ready because we are entering the period that will be known as the end of suburbia.